TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for October 28 at 1:00 PM ET.
More markets for the DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for October 28 at 1:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available here, and may adjust their lines based on betting action, similar to how traders influence prices on Polymarket. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly early on.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards a different outcome, the price of its shares will decrease. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Paderborn vs. Stuttgart match, as determined by official league sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to their share holdings at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in other related matches, or broader trends in the league standings, might also play a role. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market before Oct 28, 2026.