TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:01 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Paderborn 07" if SC Paderborn 07 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "VfB Stuttgart" if VfB Stuttgart are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Paderborn 07" if SC Paderborn 07 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "VfB Stuttgart" if VfB Stuttgart are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, attempts to represent the true probability of either team scoring first, as collectively assessed by participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the market as new information becomes available. Analyzing these differences can potentially reveal opportunities for value betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of Paderborn or Stuttgart scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets. The current implied probabilities are based on the latest trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, SC Paderborn 07 or VfB Stuttgart, scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against reliable sources. The market’s outcome is not dependent on any subjective interpretation, but rather on a clear, objective event – the first goal scored in the game. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the resolution is finalized.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Paderborn or Stuttgart would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match announcements about starting lineups, might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could shift the market, reflecting new information or a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential market movements.