TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 28, 2026 between SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart.
This event is for the upcoming DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 28, 2026 between SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – the odds on Polymarket may move differently than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially closer to the event date.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of shares representing that outcome, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of probabilities driven by market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market, and winning shares will be redeemable at the predetermined payout rate. The market’s resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, relying on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either SC Paderborn 07 or VfB Stuttgart would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also shift the odds. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve.