TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the SC Paderborn 07 vs. Hertha BSC match scheduled for February 22, 2026, in the German Bundesliga 2 (2. Bundesliga). Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the three possible outcomes: Paderborn win, Hertha win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the core resolution metric (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and the match date (February 22, 2026). Minor asymmetry exists in cancellation handling, but the practical outcome is consistent: the match result determines resolution.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga 2 match result (bundesliga.com) as of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 22, 2026Core resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Paderborn win, Hertha win, or draw
- If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket win markets resolve to No and draw market resolves to Yes; Kalshi treats cancellation as a failure to occur and would not resolve any outcome to Yes under standard market mechanics
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed on a rescheduled date. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
- Match Cancellation (No Reschedule): Polymarket: Win markets (Paderborn, Hertha) resolve to No; Draw market resolves to Yes. Kalshi: Cancellation is not explicitly addressed; standard interpretation would be that no outcome occurs and markets may be voided or require discretionary resolution.
- Scope Boundary: Resolution includes only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Any goals scored in extra time or during a penalty shootout are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 22, 2026, or on the rescheduled match date if postponed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.