TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV, will score more goals in the second half of a Bundesliga match, or if the second half will end in a draw. The markets specifically exclude first-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs, focusing solely on regular play plus stoppage time in the second half.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Paderborn 07" if SC Paderborn 07 score more goals than Hamburger SV in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hamburger SV" if Hamburger SV score more goals than SC Paderborn 07 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Paderborn 07" if SC Paderborn 07 score more goals than Hamburger SV in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hamburger SV" if Hamburger SV score more goals than SC Paderborn 07 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, and may present opportunities for value betting when discrepancies exist between the two. The current volume on this market is $0.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing how quickly prices react to new information. Currently, Polymarket currently favors SC Paderborn 07 to win the second half at 44%, while Predict leans toward a draw.