TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 8:43 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between SC Freiburg and FK Jablonec, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SC Freiburg vs. FK Jablonec match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between SC Freiburg and FK Jablonec, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SC Freiburg vs. FK Jablonec match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each exact score. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, attracting traders who aim to profit from the difference. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when there’s strong public interest and active trading.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that score occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s overall efficiency depends on the number of participants and the information they incorporate into their trading decisions, leading to a constantly updating assessment of the match’s potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the SC Freiburg versus FK Jablonec match will be used to determine the winning exact score. Any potential delays in reporting the official result may impact the resolution timeline, but the platform will aim for swift and accurate settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed scoreline to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either SC Freiburg or FK Jablonec would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also affect the perceived likelihood of different scorelines. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts and unexpected team lineup announcements could trigger trading volume and price adjustments as traders react to new information.