TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:01 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 11 at 11:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 11 at 11:30 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual predictions and trades. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value in either the prediction market or sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the SC Freiburg versus FC Schalke 04 match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and winning shares will be redeemed according to the market’s rules. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Major tactical announcements from either team’s manager, or significant shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, could also cause price fluctuations. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team winning, drawing, or achieving a specific result have the potential to move this market considerably before Oct 11, 2026.