TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:51 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between SC Freiburg and FC Bayern München, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between SC Freiburg and FC Bayern München, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk and profit, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal interesting insights into how different groups perceive the likelihood of various outcomes in the Freiburg vs. Bayern match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Freiburg vs. Bayern match. The current price movements indicate strong conviction around the most favored outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any official result published by a recognized sports authority will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the exact score will receive a payout proportional to their shareholding in the winning outcome, while those who backed other possibilities will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either SC Freiburg or FC Bayern München would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or even unexpected weather conditions on match day, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any major upsets in other recent matches involving these teams might lead to a reassessment of their relative strengths and influence the probabilities associated with different exact scorelines in this market.