TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SC Farense and AD Marco 09, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Farense" if SC Farense are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Marco 09" if AD Marco 09 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between SC Farense and AD Marco 09, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Farense" if SC Farense are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Marco 09" if AD Marco 09 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders buying and selling based on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially driving the odds in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe SC Farense will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa for AD Marco 09. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, SC Farense or AD Marco 09, is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the match. Official match reports and verified sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score, based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could all shift traders’ perceptions of each team’s chances. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could influence traders on Polymarket, leading to price adjustments as they attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.