TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between SC Braga and Sporting CP scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three markets track the outcome: Braga win, draw, and Sporting CP win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while Braga and Sporting win markets (and all Kalshi markets) resolve NO on cancellation. This creates a logical inconsistency in the cancellation edge case.Hero Tip:
Monitor Liga Portugal official communications for any cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, expect resolution disputes on the draw market. Postponements are handled consistently across all platforms (markets remain open). Focus trading on the core outcome scenarios rather than cancellation tail risk.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets with inconsistent cancellation logic. Braga win and Sporting win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve to No' (win markets). All reference Liga Portugal official statistics as primary source within 2 hours of conclusion.Kalshi:
Three outcome markets (Braga wins, Sporting wins, Tie) presented as separate binary contracts. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Implicitly treats all three as mutually exclusive outcomes that resolve YES only if that specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No make-up or postponement language included.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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