TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SC Austria Lustenau and SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Austria Lustenau" if SC Austria Lustenau are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz" if SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between SC Austria Lustenau and SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Austria Lustenau" if SC Austria Lustenau are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz" if SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets as new information becomes available. It’s a useful comparison to see where the crowd diverges from conventional wisdom.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – either SC Austria Lustenau or SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz scoring first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares directly translates to the market’s prediction of which team is more likely to score the opening goal. The market’s efficiency relies on active participation from informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, SC Austria Lustenau or SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, officially scores the first goal in the match. Official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, settling the market accordingly for all traders who participated.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding team lineups, key player injuries, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could also play a role. A surprising result in a related match involving either team might also cause traders to reassess their predictions, leading to price fluctuations. Overall team form and recent performance will be closely watched as well.