TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles
Volume:
$123,215
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Eredivisie soccer match between SBV Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Excelsior win, Go Ahead Eagles win, or draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how to handle game cancellation with no makeup. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes and win markets to No; Kalshi does not address cancellation and only specifies resolution for completed games.Hero Tip:
Track official Eredivisie schedule updates closely. If cancellation is announced, Polymarket traders will see asymmetric payoffs (draw Yes, wins No), while Kalshi's resolution path is ambiguous. Consider closing or hedging cross-platform positions before cancellation is confirmed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Excelsior win (Yes if Excelsior wins, No otherwise including cancellation), Go Ahead Eagles win (Yes if Eagles win, No otherwise including cancellation), Draw (Yes if draw or if game canceled with no makeup, No otherwise). Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for wins) and 'this market will resolve to Yes' (for draw).
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets that each resolve Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation or postponement scenarios. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Excelsior wins... then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If GA Eagles wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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