TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:18 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SBV Excelsior and FC Groningen, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SBV Excelsior" if SBV Excelsior are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Groningen" if FC Groningen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between SBV Excelsior and FC Groningen, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SBV Excelsior" if SBV Excelsior are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Groningen" if FC Groningen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Excelsior or Groningen will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and opinions, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the lead. The current implied probabilities are shaped by the buying and selling pressure on each side of the market.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the SBV Excelsior versus FC Groningen match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the first team to score will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Excelsior or Groningen would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts could also shift the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before Oct 11, 2026.