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SBV Excelsior vs. FC Groningen
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of SBV Excelsior vs FC Groningen?

Volume:
$80,449

Groningen

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 12:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Groningen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,272
N/A
N/A
$10,668
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Groningen

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Excelsior

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,023
N/A
N/A
$14,637
Settled
No
polymarket

SBV Excelsior

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,324
N/A
N/A
$16,044
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SBV Excelsior vs. FC Groningen)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between SBV Excelsior and FC Groningen scheduled for October 11, 2026. Markets exist for Excelsior winning, Groningen winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's rules are silent on cancellation, potentially leaving the market open indefinitely.Hero tip: The differing cancellation policies introduce risk. Polymarket offers defined resolution in case of cancellation, while Kalshi does not. Factor this into your trading strategy.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official sources (governing body, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. Relies on the official result of the game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026 between SBV Excelsior and FC Groningen.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Excelsior vs Groningen professional Eredivisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Excelsior market occurs if Excelsior wins the match within this timeframe. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Groningen resolves if Groningen achieves victory. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. These rules ensure clarity regarding regular-time results and handling of exceptional scheduling changes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources and identifying potential mispricings in either market.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading incentives, and liquidity, which can lead to varying levels of demand for different outcomes. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior. Differences in reported volume, even if small, can also contribute to price discrepancies. It’s common to see slight variations, reflecting the independent price discovery process on each platform for the Excelsior vs. Groningen match.