TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between two teams. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will adjust fairly if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The event resolves based on the result of the Savoia vs Cosenza professional Serie C soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Savoia wins, the 'Savoia' market resolves to Yes. If Cosenza wins, the 'Cosenza' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially incorporating information not readily available to bookmakers. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities adjust closer to the event date as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium, indicating the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at various price points, provides insight into the potential volatility and liquidity of this market. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Savoia vs Cosenza match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement on Kalshi. The platform will then distribute payouts to contract holders based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Match previews, expert analysis, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can also play a role. Furthermore, shifts in betting patterns on Kalshi itself – a sudden surge in buying or selling pressure – can cause the odds to move. Unexpected weather conditions or even referee assignments could also introduce volatility into this market before Oct 24, 2026.