TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming women's professional soccer match between two teams. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the match result as it stands after the standard playing duration, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves determining the result of a professional women's Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, between Sassuolo and Parma Calcio. There are three possible outcomes: Sassuolo win, Parma Calcio win, or a tie, all to be determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. If the match concludes with a win for either team within this timeframe, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie under the same conditions, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as per the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its entities.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the knowledge and insights of a diverse group of traders, creating a “wisdom of the crowd” effect. While sportsbooks may set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows for continuous adjustment based on new information and changing sentiment. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different cost structures and incentives, which can lead to discrepancies in pricing.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Sassuolo vs Parma match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. This includes accounting for any potential extra time or penalty shootouts, depending on the competition’s rules. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. The final price will reflect the collective prediction of all participants.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sassuolo or Parma would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, tactical announcements from the managers, and even public opinion shifts based on expert analysis can all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential trading opportunities.