TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Serie A soccer match between Sassuolo and Milan. It evaluates various thresholds of goal counts to determine the outcome. The resolution depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific numerical limits.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Sassuolo vs Milan professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. If the actual number of goals exceeds any given threshold, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The thresholds progressively increase, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of higher-scoring outcomes. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria tied to its specific threshold. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi may converge or diverge from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as event time approaches, as they benefit from a broader range of perspectives and continuous updating.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the Sassuolo vs Milan match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange contracts, the prices adjust, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The closer we get to the match, the more responsive the prices will be to new information and trading activity, ultimately reflecting the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the Sassuolo vs Milan match, as officially recorded by the relevant soccer authorities, will determine the winning contract. Any goals scored during regulation time or added time will be counted towards the final total. The resolution will be based on the official match result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact the Sassuolo vs Milan goals market. Injury reports for key players on either team are major catalysts, as the absence of a star striker or a solid defender can dramatically alter scoring expectations. Weather conditions, particularly if heavy rain or strong winds are forecast, could also influence the number of goals scored. Late-breaking news regarding team formations or tactical changes could also shift the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or fan discussions, might impact trading activity and price movements.