TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming Serie A soccer match between Sassuolo and Milan. It focuses on how many goals will separate the two teams at the end of regular time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The outcome depends on the difference in goals scored by either team.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Sassuolo vs Milan Serie A match scheduled for October 11, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a qualifying margin as defined per market: Sassuolo must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while Milan must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, depending on the specific market conditions. Each market has its own threshold for resolution, and all share the common exclusion of post-regulation gameplay. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Sassuolo vs Milan match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Sassuolo vs Milan match, as determined by official sources, will dictate the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official results following the match to understand the final outcome and settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Sassuolo or Milan would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also sway traders’ opinions. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as changes in the starting lineup, could also create volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market before Oct 11, 2026.