TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Milan will win its upcoming Serie A soccer match against Sassuolo. Currently, Kalshi gives Milan a 48.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 36.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the Sassuolo vs Milan professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official match result. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 11, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the 90-minute window determining the market’s outcome.
Markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Sassuolo vs Milan Serie A match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Sassuolo win, Milan win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to platform guidelines. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with Lega Serie A or any governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective predictions of traders, tends to be more efficient and reflects the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Sassuolo vs Milan match, as officially recorded by Serie A authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sassuolo or Milan would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Major upsets in other Serie A matches leading up to the game might shift perceptions of team strength and impact the odds. Monitoring these factors can help traders identify potential opportunities.