TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 2:26 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether either team secures a decisive victory margin. The outcomes hinge on the difference in goals between the two teams at the end of regular time.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina professional Serie A soccer game scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Sassuolo requires winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while a 'Yes' for Fiorentina requires winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The rules specify varying margin requirements for each market, with Kalshi noting no official league affiliation and acknowledging trademark ownership by respective parties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a decentralized mechanism, meaning prices are determined solely by supply and demand from traders, not by any central authority or pre-defined odds.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina match as determined by official sports data providers. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process, based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 2, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sassuolo or Fiorentina would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market. Monitoring these factors can help traders make informed decisions about their positions in this market.