TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Sassari and Atalanta U23. Bettors can speculate on whether Sassari, Atalanta U23, or a tied result will occur by the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Sassari vs Atalanta U23 Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Sassari market occurs only if Sassari secures a victory in normal time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Atalanta U23 requires their win within the same timeframe. If the match concludes with an equal score at the end of regular time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined per platform guidelines. The resolution strictly adheres to the result after regular time, with no consideration given to post-match events such as extra periods or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns or promotional considerations into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly forecasting the event’s outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely result. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood, driven entirely by user activity.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Sassari vs Atalanta U23 match will be used to determine the winning contract. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected tactical decisions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Additionally, performance in prior matches, weather conditions, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all play a role. Significant betting volume or large trades on Kalshi could also indicate a change in market sentiment and cause price fluctuations.