TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These two markets determine the outright winner of the CFL game between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Montreal Alouettes. Each market is specific to one team's victory, with tie scenarios resolved evenly.
If the Montreal Alouettes win the Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Montreal Alouettes professional CFL football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Saskatchewan Roughriders win the Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Montreal Alouettes professional CFL football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It’s common to see the odds on Kalshi converge with sportsbook lines as the game date nears, but discrepancies can still emerge based on differing analyses of team performance and potential game-day factors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders directly bid and ask for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe the Montreal Alouettes will win, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a highly liquid and efficient market for predicting the championship winner.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Saskatchewan Roughriders versus Montreal Alouettes championship game. The winning team, as declared by the CFL, will determine the settlement of contracts on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries to key players on either the Saskatchewan Roughriders or the Montreal Alouettes would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected coaching changes or significant changes in team strategy could also influence trader sentiment. News regarding weather conditions expected on game day could also move the market, as certain teams may perform better in specific conditions. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 12, 2026.