TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The Saskatchewan Roughriders and British Columbia Lions will compete in a CFL football game. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined points scored by both teams will exceed various thresholds.
Multiple markets evaluate whether the total points scored by both teams in the game exceed thresholds of 43.5, 50.5, 57.5, 64.5, or 71.5 points. If the combined score meets or exceeds any specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The game must be played as scheduled or rescheduled within two days; otherwise, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the CFL.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the game’s total points. If a large number of traders believe the actual total points will be higher than what sportsbooks predict, the price of contracts representing those higher totals will increase. This dynamic can create opportunities for arbitrage or simply a more accurate prediction of the final score than traditional methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point ranges for the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism where the market continuously adjusts to new information and changing expectations about the final score.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Saskatchewan Roughriders versus British Columbia Lions game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts corresponding to the actual total points scored will settle at 100, while others will settle at 0. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official score is verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Roughriders or Lions would likely have a significant impact, as this affects the expected scoring potential. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, even without external news events.