TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The spread between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and British Columbia Lions in their upcoming CFL game determines these markets. Wagers depend on the margin of victory for either team against various point differentials.
Markets assess whether the Saskatchewan Roughriders win by margins exceeding 20.5, 13.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, or whether the British Columbia Lions win by margins exceeding 3.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 13.5, or 20.5 points. The specific outcome that meets or exceeds any threshold resolves the respective market to Yes. As with other markets, the game must occur within two days of the original date to remain valid; otherwise, it resolves to a fair price. Kalshi states no official connection to the CFL.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases, creating potential arbitrage opportunities. However, as the event approaches, this market's odds frequently converge with those offered by sportsbooks as more information becomes available and public opinion solidifies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on the final point difference between the two teams. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders update their beliefs, leading to a constantly evolving price discovery process. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the Saskatchewan Roughriders versus British Columbia Lions game will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100. The market will reflect the actual result of the game, providing a clear and objective outcome for all participants. The resolution will be based on official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Saskatchewan Roughriders or the British Columbia Lions would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.