TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:37 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Rosenborg BK, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Sarpsborg 08 FF" if Sarpsborg 08 FF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rosenborg BK" if Rosenborg BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Rosenborg BK, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Sarpsborg 08 FF" if Sarpsborg 08 FF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rosenborg BK" if Rosenborg BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook underestimates the chance of Rosenborg BK scoring first, the price on Polymarket will move accordingly. This can create opportunities for informed traders to exploit discrepancies between the two, though it's not always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Sarpsborg 08 FF or Rosenborg BK will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that new information or shifts in sentiment can quickly impact the odds. Currently, Rosenborg BK is the favored outcome, with a probability reflected in the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Sarpsborg 08 FF versus Rosenborg BK match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sarpsborg 08 FF or Rosenborg BK would likely have a significant impact. Team form, recent match results, and tactical changes announced by the managers could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day might be considered. Unexpected news or developments related to either team could create trading opportunities and cause the price to fluctuate before Oct 18, 2026.