TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Aalesunds FK, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sarpsborg 08 FF" if Sarpsborg 08 FF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aalesunds FK" if Aalesunds FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Aalesunds FK, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sarpsborg 08 FF" if Sarpsborg 08 FF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aalesunds FK" if Aalesunds FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, represents a different perspective, potentially factoring in information not immediately reflected in sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even external factors influencing the game. It's common to see prediction markets offering more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of either Sarpsborg 08 FF or Aalesunds FK scoring first. The current price indicates the market's expectation, and traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own assessment and the market's.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the Sarpsborg 08 FF versus Aalesunds FK match will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official match data, and any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when their positions are settled.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sarpsborg 08 FF or Aalesunds FK would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the managers, might influence traders’ expectations. Finally, significant betting activity itself – a large influx of volume on one outcome – can drive price changes on Polymarket.