TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Sariyer and Karagumruk in the TFF 1. Lig league. Bettors can speculate on whether Sariyer, Karagumruk, or a tied result will occur by the end of regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The event involves determining the winner of a professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, between Sariyer and Karagumruk. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Sariyer, a win for Karagumruk, or a tie. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout results. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the defined rules. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs, potentially uncovering information not fully captured by traditional methods. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of trading as more participants weigh in. Comparing these odds can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Sariyer vs Karagumruk match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sariyer vs Karagumruk match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The market will determine which outcome—a Sariyer win, a Karagumruk win, or a draw—actually occurred during the scheduled match. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market before Oct 24, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Sariyer or Karagumruk would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also alter expectations. News regarding weather conditions at the match venue, or even tactical adjustments announced by the managers, could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Any information that affects the perceived probability of either team winning, or of a draw occurring, has the potential to move this market.