TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Sariyer and Bodrum. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Sariyer wins, Bodrum wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Sariyer vs Bodrum professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, considering only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time—extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Sariyer, a win for Bodrum, or a tied result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The event operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the price will move, potentially signaling a divergence from sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information and adjust probabilities more efficiently than traditional betting venues. This can provide a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The current market reflects the collective intelligence of those participating in this event.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sariyer vs Bodrum match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and whether their contracts settled in their favor once the resolution is complete. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant pre-match analysis from sports commentators or analysts could also impact the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants can quickly move the price, especially if they signal a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the event.