TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 11:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming USL League One game between Sarasota Paradise and FC Naples, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sarasota Paradise vs. FC Naples match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming USL League One game between Sarasota Paradise and FC Naples, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sarasota Paradise vs. FC Naples match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy emerges, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Polymarket and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees a correct prediction of the final score.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available knowledge, offering a real-time assessment of the potential outcome of the Sarasota vs. Naples match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the Sarasota Paradise versus FC Naples match will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the score reported by the official league governing body and widely available through sports news outlets. Any protests or appeals must be resolved before the outcome is finalized and shares are settled.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sarasota Paradise or FC Naples would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the market. Additionally, team form leading up to the match, tactical announcements from the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports analysts could all contribute to shifts in trading activity and price discovery in this market.