TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Sarapanovschi Iurie and Butnaru Dumitru in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 16 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarapanovschi Iurie' if Sarapanovschi Iurie wins against Butnaru Dumitru. This market will resolve to 'Butnaru Dumitru' if Butnaru Dumitru wins against Sarapanovschi Iurie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Sarapanovschi Iurie and Butnaru Dumitru in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 16 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarapanovschi Iurie' if Sarapanovschi Iurie wins against Butnaru Dumitru. This market will resolve to 'Butnaru Dumitru' if Butnaru Dumitru wins against Sarapanovschi Iurie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to a payout of 1 USDC.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sarapanovschi vs. Butnaru match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will then verify the result and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or any controversies surrounding the match could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed participants could also trigger shifts in the market, reflecting new information or changing perceptions about the likely outcome of the Sarapanovschi vs. Butnaru match.