TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

Markets across

40,470

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,365

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?

Volume:
$19,075

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 10:06 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,267
N/A
N/A
$5,167
Settled
No
kalshi

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,156
N/A
N/A
$4,129
Settled
No
kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,538
N/A
N/A
$4,538
Settled
No
kalshi

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,114
N/A
N/A
$2,093
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sao Paulo and Vasco da Gama, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It reflects how betting markets assess potential score differences in competitive sports games. The resolution depends entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the victory margin in the Sao Paulo versus Vasco da Gama Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds exist: Sao Paulo winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sao Paulo winning by more than 1.5 goals, Vasco da Gama winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Vasco da Gama winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases explicitly excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes in this market. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the price has fluctuated over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $18,820. The total volume traded on this market is $19,075. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how other traders are positioning themselves ahead of the event. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market’s activity.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market’s prices are determined by supply and demand. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a different way of assessing probabilities for the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama match.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama match, as reported by official sources. The market will determine which outcome is the winner based on the final score and any applicable tie-breaking rules. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Sao Paulo or Vasco da Gama could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can drive trading activity and alter the market price. Keep an eye on these signals to understand potential movements in this market and refine your predictions.