TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama
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What is the result of Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?

Volume:
$392,339

Sao Paulo

 - Kalshi

Sao Paulo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 10:05 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sao Paulo

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$262,427
N/A
N/A
$119,178
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vasco da Gama

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,400
N/A
N/A
$49,657
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,513
N/A
N/A
$35,724
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sao Paulo and Vasco da Gama in the Brasileiro Serie A league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Sao Paulo wins, Vasco da Gama wins, or the game ends in a tie based on this regulation time result.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the outcome of the Sao Paulo versus Vasco da Gama Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to possible results: Sao Paulo win, Vasco da Gama win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a win for either team within regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the teams are level after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities of different outcomes are changing in real-time. The current volume is $324,848, and the total volume traded on this market is $392,339. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of how people are predicting the outcome of this sporting event, all within Kalshi.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting markets, particularly when there's significant public interest and available information. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value if they diverge substantially from the probabilities indicated by this market, suggesting a potential mispricing or differing perspectives on the event’s likely outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will then determine the winning contract and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions affecting the match could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analyses, can drive volume and price movements within this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.