TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 4.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 4.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:04h:38m
$
The match between Sao Paulo and Corinthians will determine if more than a certain number of goals are scored within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalties.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified threshold of goals (ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5) is exceeded in the Sao Paulo vs Corinthians professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, counting only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all thresholds. The outcome is determined solely by the total goals scored within these regulated periods.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering more favorable odds depending on how traders collectively value the likelihood of different outcomes. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Sao Paulo vs Corinthians match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a transparent and efficient pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Sao Paulo vs Corinthians match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regulation time or any added extra time, but does not include penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official match data to ensure an accurate and unbiased resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sao Paulo or Corinthians would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also impact expectations regarding the number of goals scored. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway trader sentiment and shift the prices in this market, as could any significant shifts in public perception.