TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Sao Bernardo and Criciuma in the Brasileiro Serie B league. Bettors can speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie based on the full regulation time result.
The markets resolve based solely on the result of the Sao Bernardo vs Criciuma Brasileiro Serie B soccer match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on October 18, 2026, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins within regulation time, or when the match ends in a tie for the Tie market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution depends exclusively on regulation time results, with no consideration for post-match events or official contest outcomes beyond standard time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal risk assessments, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analysts, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct in their predictions. This can lead to a different assessment of the probability of various outcomes than you might find elsewhere.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Sao Bernardo vs Criciuma match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The goal is to find contracts that you believe are mispriced, either undervalued or overvalued, based on your own analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sao Bernardo vs Criciuma match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also cause the market to react. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is evolving.