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Closed: Oct 28, 8:26 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Brasileiro Serie A match between Santos and Palmeiras scheduled for October 28, 2026, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time.
If Santos and Palmeiras both score a goal in the Santos vs Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a house edge, while prediction market prices reflect the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when a significant amount of volume is traded. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of trading occurs on this market, as the crowd’s assessment evolves.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Santos vs Palmeiras match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi, and reflects their collective assessment of the likelihood of a ‘Both Teams To Score’ outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Santos and Palmeiras score at least one goal during the match. The official result, as reported by recognized sports data providers, will determine the settlement of this market. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome. It is important to note that any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for resolution purposes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Santos or Palmeiras would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the managers, could also contribute to price movements. Any significant information affecting the perceived scoring potential of either team could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations.