TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Santos versus Palmeiras professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, “Tie is the result” is trading at 77.5% on Kalshi, while “Palmeiras wins” is at 15%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match as reported by the official result, as defined in the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market resolves following the conclusion of the game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, with a resolution date estimate of 2026-10-29.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Santos vs Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Santos market occurs if Santos wins in regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Palmeiras occurs if Palmeiras wins in regulation. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. All markets are independent and resolve strictly based on regulation time results, with no consideration for post-regulation events such as extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analyses, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or shifts in sentiment. Examining both sets of odds can offer a more comprehensive view of the expected result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santos vs Palmeiras match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted outcome matches the actual result. The platform ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process, providing clarity and certainty for all participants. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements could also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or changes in public sentiment, reflected in polls or media coverage, could also impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading decisions. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis for the latest developments.