TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Santos vs Flamengo: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Santos vs Flamengo?

Volume:
$109,370

Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 8:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,451
N/A
N/A
$17,803
Settled
No
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,811
N/A
N/A
$17,451
Settled
No
kalshi

Santos wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,004
N/A
N/A
$20,283
Settled
No
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,556
N/A
N/A
$4,785
Settled
No
kalshi

Santos wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,548
N/A
N/A
$4,034
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event determines if one team wins the Santos vs Flamengo match by a specific goal margin. The outcome is based on the difference in goals scored by the teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if Santos wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals in the specified match. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from the goal difference calculation. All markets include the same secondary disclaimer regarding Kalshi's lack of affiliation with the governing league and the ownership of trademarks, logos, and brand names by their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Santos vs Flamengo match tracks the current price of contracts representing predictions on the outcome of the spread. You can view the historical price movement of this market, giving insight into how traders’ expectations have changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume, currently at $109,188, and the total volume traded to date, which is $109,370. This provides a sense of how much activity and interest there is in this particular event.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and can serve as a useful point of comparison when evaluating the potential value in this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Santos vs Flamengo match. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and the actions of other traders, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Santos vs Flamengo match as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of the contract at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events might also indirectly impact trading activity in this market.