TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:26 PM EST
Kalshi
The event determines if both Santos and Flamengo will score in their Serie A fixture scheduled for October 8, 2026. The resolution hinges on whether each team finds the back of the net during the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If Santos and Flamengo both score a goal in the Santos vs Flamengo Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of both teams scoring. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook underestimates the chance of a BTTS outcome, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Santos vs Flamengo match. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates a lower perceived probability, while a lower price suggests a higher probability of a BTTS outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Santos and Flamengo score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the market will settle in favor of 'Yes'; otherwise, it will settle as 'No'. The result will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Santos or Flamengo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a more offensive or defensive approach from either team could also cause the price to move, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information available.