TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Flamengo will win the Santos vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Flamengo a 93.5% probability of winning, while a tied result is priced at 5.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game as determined by the official result, per Kalshi’s resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes or No based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on October 9, 2026, the estimated resolution date.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Santos vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for October 8, 2026. If Santos wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, that market resolves to Yes. If Flamengo secures the victory under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. A tie after regulation time results in the Tie market resolving to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours after the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution depends solely on the result after regular time, with no consideration for extra time or penalties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than those offered by sportsbooks, especially as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they diverge significantly from the current price on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Santos vs Flamengo match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing means the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santos vs Flamengo match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome has been achieved. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The final outcome will be clearly displayed on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, public opinion and media coverage leading up to the match can play a role, as can any significant events affecting the overall confidence in either team. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly influence trading activity in this market.