TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:50 PM EST
Kalshi
A basketball match will be held, and the team achieving the highest score will be recognized as the winner.
If Mineros de Zacatecas wins the Santos Del Potosi vs Mineros de Zacatecas men's professional Mexico LNBP basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Santos Del Potosi wins the Santos Del Potosi vs Mineros de Zacatecas men's professional Mexico LNBP basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Kalshi, aims to reflect the true probabilities of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and diverse viewpoints are incorporated by participants. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at various price points, provides insight into the liquidity and potential price volatility of this market. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santos Del Potosi versus Mineros de Zacatecas Liga de Expansión MX match. Any official postponement or cancellation of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will ultimately be determined by the verified final score as reported by official sources. Traders should monitor official announcements for any updates regarding the event’s status.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, shifts in public sentiment, and even weather conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants on Kalshi could signal new information or a change in market expectations, causing prices to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights for traders.