TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Santander and Valencia. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Santander vs Valencia La Liga match scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed a specified half-goal increment (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market price can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probability of different outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As traders place orders, the prices fluctuate, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by various factors, including news, expert opinions, and overall market sentiment regarding the Santander vs Valencia match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Santander vs Valencia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total goals scored will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Santander or Valencia would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal total. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or analysis from respected football pundits could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.