TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Santander and Valencia, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It reflects how bettors and analysts assess team performance and expected score differences in competitive sports. The resolution depends entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential in the Santander vs Valencia professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Santander winning by more than 2.5 goals, Santander winning by more than 1.5 goals, Valencia winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Valencia winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' occurs only if the specified team achieves the corresponding victory margin. Extra time and penalty phases do not factor into the resolution, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Santander vs Valencia match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread in the Santander vs Valencia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result as that will determine the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Santander or Valencia could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major tactical announcements or shifts in public perception regarding the teams’ chances of winning could lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations in this market.