TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Santander will win its professional La Liga soccer game against Valencia. Currently, Kalshi gives Santander a 75.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 21.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the Santander vs Valencia game, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 11, 2026, as that date represents the end of the betting period and will determine the final outcome of this market.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Santander vs Valencia professional La Liga soccer match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Santander market occurs if Santander wins the match within this timeframe. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Valencia market occurs if Valencia secures the victory. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and do not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events, as new information emerges and public opinion shifts regarding the Santander vs Valencia match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will converge towards what the market believes is the true probability of each outcome in the Santander vs Valencia match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santander vs Valencia match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and any relevant game statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Santander or Valencia would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift expectations. News regarding team tactics, weather conditions on match day, or even public statements from coaches or players could all contribute to price movement. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the market.