TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Santander vs Real Madrid: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Santander vs Real Madrid?

Volume:
$1,591,346

Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 12:16 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$590,396
N/A
N/A
$266,284
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$501,987
N/A
N/A
$249,844
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Madrid wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$245,896
N/A
N/A
$93,046
Settled
No
kalshi

Real Madrid wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$168,873
N/A
N/A
$80,540
Settled
No
kalshi

Real Madrid wins by more than 5.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,056
N/A
N/A
$33,827
Settled
No
kalshi

Santander wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,079
N/A
N/A
$11,772
Settled
No
kalshi

Real Madrid wins by more than 6.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,502
N/A
N/A
$2,747
Settled
No
kalshi

Santander wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$556
N/A
N/A
$556
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks whether Real Madrid will win their La Liga match against Santander by more than 1.5 goals. Currently, Kalshi gives a 97.0% probability to Real Madrid winning by more than 1.5 goals. The market resolves based on the outcome of the professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match on November 1, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Santander or Real Madrid wins the professional La Liga soccer game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. One market requires Santander to win by more than 2.5 goals, another by more than 1.5 goals, while two others require Real Madrid to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals respectively, each resolving to Yes if the winning margin exceeds the specified threshold. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Real Madrid vs Santander match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes in this market. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the price has fluctuated over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,534,477. The total volume traded on this market is $1,569,215. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the spread in this match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their analysis, while this market’s price is determined by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs about the Real Madrid vs Santander match. Therefore, discrepancies can emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Real Madrid vs Santander match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Real Madrid vs Santander match as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The exact details of the spread will be determined by the official match results.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Real Madrid or Santander would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team formations or coaching strategies could also move the market. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts, as well as any significant shifts in public betting patterns, could influence trader behavior and alter the price of contracts related to the Real Madrid vs Santander match. The closer we get to Nov 1, 2026, the more sensitive the market will be to these factors.