TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming La Liga match between Santander and Espanyol. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, reflecting expectations about the match's offensive intensity.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Santander vs Espanyol professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The markets are independent, each corresponding to a different goal threshold, and all share the same temporal and procedural conditions regarding the match's official duration.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price of contracts in this market will move accordingly. However, as the event approaches, the prices in this market and sportsbook odds often converge as more information becomes available and public sentiment aligns. It’s common to see discrepancies initially, but those tend to diminish over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Santander vs Espanyol match. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in a particular outcome, and can lead to more stable pricing. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Santander vs Espanyol match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular play will count towards the total. The market will settle to 100 for the correct outcome, and 0 for all others, based on this verified result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Santander or Espanyol would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected scoring rate. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed shortly before kickoff could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or widespread betting activity, could impact the price of contracts in this market.