TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Santa Cruz FC PE and Maringa, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent within the standard match timeframe. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes based on the goal differential.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Santa Cruz FC PE vs Maringa professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcomes are defined: Santa Cruz FC PE winning by more than 2.5 goals, Santa Cruz FC PE winning by more than 1.5 goals, Maringa winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Maringa winning by more than 2.5 goals. The specific outcome that occurs determines how the market resolves. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and perceived biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the potential result of the Santa Cruz vs Maringa match, and highlight where the crowd disagrees with experts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated beliefs of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share of the potential payout if their predicted outcome comes to fruition. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time assessment of the likelihood of various results in the Santa Cruz vs Maringa match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Santa Cruz vs Maringa match, specifically determining whether Santa Cruz FC PE wins by more than the specified spread. The platform will use publicly available data to verify the final score and determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Santa Cruz FC PE or Maringa would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Major announcements related to the match, such as changes in venue or kickoff time, could also drive movement. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning by the spread has the potential to move this market.