TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:26 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Brasileiro Serie C match between Santa Cruz FC PE and Maringa on October 3, 2026, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the offensive performance of both sides within regular time.
If Santa Cruz FC PE and Maringa both score a goal in the Santa Cruz FC PE vs Maringa Brasileiro Serie C match originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a large number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift to reflect that view. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ form and potential. It’s common to see prediction markets as more accurate over time, particularly as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams to score) or 'No' (one or both teams fail to score). The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of both Santa Cruz FC and Maringa finding the back of the net. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, providing insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Santa Cruz FC and Maringa score at least one goal during the scheduled match. If both teams score, the 'Yes' contracts will pay out. If either team fails to score, the 'No' contracts will pay out. The final result will be determined by official match data, and any potential issues will be addressed according to Kalshi’s standard procedures for event verification.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Santa Cruz FC or Maringa would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions that favor a more defensive or offensive style of play, might impact the odds. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable soccer analysts could influence how traders assess the probability of both teams scoring.