TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Santa Cruz FC PE and Maringa in the Brasileiro Serie C league. Participants can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Santa Cruz FC PE versus Maringa Brasileiro Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for the Santa Cruz FC PE market occurs if Santa Cruz FC PE wins the match outright within regular time. Conversely, a 'Yes' outcome for the Maringa market occurs if Maringa secures an outright win within the same timeframe. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regular time. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per platform guidelines. No outcomes are determined by results occurring in extra time or penalty phases.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that they have access to information not yet reflected in the sportsbook lines. It’s important to consider both sources of information when forming your own opinion about the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santa Cruz FC PE versus Maringa match. Any official postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential changes that could affect the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either team could also impact predictions. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be key to understanding how this market evolves.