TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 8:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Nicolas Kicker in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Nicolas Kicker. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Nicolas Kicker in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Nicolas Kicker. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market represents what traders believe is the true probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in risk assessment. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially identifying advantageous betting opportunities for informed individuals.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is entirely determined by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Seyboth Wild vs Kicker match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning share(s). Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also affect perceptions of player momentum and overall confidence. Additionally, large volume trades from influential traders could create short-term price swings. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments in the tennis world is crucial for understanding potential market movements.