TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Cigarran and Nicolas Kicker in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Nicolas Kicker. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Thiago Cigarran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Cigarran and Nicolas Kicker in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Nicolas Kicker. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Thiago Cigarran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, which can differ from sportsbook odds influenced by house biases and risk management. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event results, sometimes outperforming traditional methods. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges and public opinion shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations regarding the Cigarran vs Kicker match. The current price reflects the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cigarran vs Kicker match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the athletes' form or strategic approaches could also lead to significant price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by the actions of traders on Polymarket. Major upsets in related matches could also shift expectations.